The favorite line of Tea Party activists just so happens to be true. The turning point of their long war against the "establishment" was the nearly-successful campaign of Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman in New York's 23rd district. Hoffman, aided by national endorsements from Sarah Palin and the Tea Party Express, chased Republican candidate Dede Scozzafava out of the race at the 11th hour, as her campaign collapsed. Liberals saw it as a triumph of lunacy over electability, but it scared the D.C. committees out of endorsing their other sure-thing, best-bet establishment candidates.
As the primaries come to a close—they are over in every state except Hawaii—we can see the results of N.Y.-23. The Republican establishment has quietly encouraged its chosen candidates but occasionally been caught flat-footed by the out-of-nowhere Tea Party movement. Here's the scorecard for gubernatorial and federal races. The criteria for whether a candidate was a Tea Party outsider: an endorsement from Sarah Palin, Jim DeMint, the Tea Party Express, or FreedomWorks, or local Tea Party groups.
Seeded on Thu Sep 16, 2010 10:10 AM EDT
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This is a really interesting state-by-state analysis of which states the Tea Party candidates were able to beat out the establishment candidates. The total scorecard in the Republican primaries was a little under 50%, with the establishment survivors frequently so conservative that there may have been little difference one way or the other.
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